Michigan vs. Minnesota odds, spread: 2024 college football picks, Week 5 predictions from proven model



The No. 12 Michigan Wolverines (3-1) will utilize their run-heavy attack when they host the Minnesota Golden Gophers (2-2) in a Big Ten battle on Saturday afternoon. Michigan is coming off a 27-24 win over then-No. 11 USC, racking up 290 rushing yards in that contest. Minnesota had it two-game winning streak snapped in a 31-14 loss to Iowa, wrapping up a four-game homestand. Michigan cruised to a 52-10 road victory when these teams met last season. 

Kickoff is set for noon ET at Michigan Stadium. Michigan is favored by 9.5 points in the latest Michigan vs. Minnesota odds, while the over/under is 35.5 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Minnesota vs. Michigan picks, you’ll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is also coming off a profitable 13-9 season on top-rated spread picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen strong returns.

The model has set its sights on Minnesota vs. Michigan. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines for the game:

  • Michigan vs. Minnesota spread: Michigan -9.5
  • Michigan vs. Minnesota over/under: 38 points
  • Michigan vs. Minnesota money line: Michigan: -364, Minnesota: +281
  • Michigan vs. Minnesota picks: See picks here

Why Michigan can cover

Michigan used a one-dimensional attack to get past USC last week, rushing for 290 yards on 46 attempts in the 27-24 final. Quarterback Alex Orji made his first career start, rushing for 43 yards while throwing for just 32 yards. The Wolverines did not need him to make many plays through the air, and their rushing attack should be enough to get past Minnesota on Saturday. 

Running back Kalel Mullings finished with 159 yards and two touchdowns against the Trojans, averaging 9.4 yards per carry. He scored the game-winning touchdown on fourth down with 37 seconds remaining. The Golden Gophers gave up 206 rushing yards and three touchdowns to Iowa running back Kaleb Johnson last week. See which team to pick here. 

Why Minnesota can cover

Michigan’s lack of a passing threat almost came back to bite the Wolverines, as they needed one huge run in the final moments to set up the game-winning touchdown. They routinely struggled to record first downs in the second half, and Minnesota will be able to stack the box on Saturday. Orji has not established himself as a reliable passer, throwing just 12 passes last week. 

Minnesota held a 14-7 halftime lead against Iowa last week before struggling in the second half. Quarterback Max Brosmer has thrown for 836 yards and five touchdowns, while running back Darius Taylor is averaging 6.3 yards per carry. The Golden Gophers are 8-3 in their last 11 September games. See which team to pick here. 

How to make Michigan vs. Minnesota picks

The model has simulated Minnesota vs. Michigan 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Michigan vs. Minnesota, and which side of the spread is hitting well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Minnesota vs. Michigan spread to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that’s up well over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks since its inception, and find out.





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