Despite a 2-6 start, the Miami Dolphins enter the final week of the regular season with a fighting chance to make the playoffs and it all begins with a win on the road over the New York Jets on Sunday. Miami will also need a Denver loss to Kansas City to get in and that game will be played simultaneously. Meanwhile, the Jets are coming off their biggest loss of the season in Buffalo and appear to be at a crossroads organizationally. Miami quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (hip) is doubtful, while receivers Tyreek Hill (wrist/illness) and Jaylen Waddle (knee) are both listed as questionable.
Kickoff is set for 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday at MetLife Stadium. The Jets are favored by 1.5 points in the latest Jets vs. Dolphins odds, while the over/under is 39.5 points per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Dolphins vs. Jets picks, you’ll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 18 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 30-14 betting hot streak on top-rated NFL picks this year — a stunning 68% success rate. Longer term, it is on a 210-142 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season and a 64-35 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns.
The model has set its sights on New York vs. Miami. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for the game:
- Jets vs. Dolphins spread: Jets -1.5
- Jets vs. Dolphins over/under: 39.5 points
- Jets vs. Dolphins money line: Dolphins +101, Jets -121
- Jets vs. Dolphins picks: See picks here
- Jets vs. Dolphins streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Jets can cover
With Aaron Rodgers healthy entering the season, the Jets had postseason and even title aspirations but have fallen well short. They’re 4-12 on the season and facing some major upheaval this offseason, with a head coaching vacancy and questions surrounding Rodgers’ future with the team.
However, the Jets still rank top five in the NFL in total defense and Rodgers, Breece Hall, Davante Adams and Garrett Wilson give the offense a quartet capable of winning one-on-one matchups. New York covered as a 6.5-point underdog in Miami on Dec. 10 with a 32-26 loss in overtime and this is a squad that would revel in spoiling Miami’s playoff dreams. See which team to pick here.
Why the Dolphins can cover
Meanwhile, the Dolphins have won six of their last eight despite the fact that the offense has been a disappointment all season and is dealing with multiple injury issues. Miami hasn’t posted more than 400 yards of total offense in a game all season after doing so six times in 2023 on the way to an 11-6 season.
Luckily, the defense has picked up the slack throughout the season. After ranking 22nd in the NFL in scoring defense a season ago, the Miami defense ranks eighth in points allowed and third in yards allowed in 2024. The Dolphins also rank fifth in the NFL in third-down defense (35.0%) and second in red-zone touchdown percentage allowed (46.0%). See which team to pick here.
How to make Jets vs. Dolphins picks
The model has simulated Dolphins vs. Jets 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning over, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Dolphins vs. Jets on Sunday, and which side of the spread cashes in over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the New York vs. Miami spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a 210-142 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.
