NASCAR at Las Vegas odds, predictions, start time: Model reveals surprising 2024 Pennzoil 400 picks

The NASCAR Cup Series will head to Las Vegas Motor Speedway on Sunday for the 2024 Pennzoil 400. It’s the first of two races on the 1.5-mile tri-oval at Las Vegas this season and the green flag is scheduled to drop at 3:30 p.m. ET. Daniel Suarez earned his second career victory last week in Atlanta and he’ll hope that success on a 1.5-mile speedway can be used to put together another strong run this week in Sin City. The 32-year-old is a 60-1 longshot in the 2024 Pennzoil 400 odds. Meanwhile, Kyle Larson is the 21-5 favorite favorite in the 2024 NASCAR at Las Vegas odds as Chevrolet looks to capture its third win in a row to start the NASCAR Cup Series season. Before scouring the 2024 Pennzoil 400 starting lineup and making any 2024 NASCAR at Las Vegas predictions, be sure to see the latest 2024 Pennzoil 400 picks from SportsLine’s proven projection model.  

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

McClure’s model was red-hot in 2023, nailing Martin Truex Jr.’s Clash win (20-1) as well as his win in New Hampshire (11-2), Joey Logano’s Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch’s Fontana victory (10-1), Denny Hamlin’s triumph in Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson’s wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). The model correctly predicted winners in two of the playoff races as well, with Ryan Blaney scoring a 12-1 payout at Talladega and Larson winning at 9-2 in Las Vegas. It also impressively nailed five of Larson’s wins during his historic season in 2021. 

All told, the model has nailed a whopping 15 winners since 2021 and nine last year alone. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns.

Now, the model simulated the 2024 Pennzoil 400 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected NASCAR at Las Vegas leaderboard.

Top 2024 Pennzoil 400 predictions

For the 2024 Pennzoil 400, we can tell you the model is high on Joey Logano, even though he’s a 16-1 longshot in the latest 2024 NASCAR at Las Vegas odds. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Logano and Brad Keselowski are the only two active drivers with three career victories at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.

Logano is also a two-time NASCAR Cup Series champion and he’ll be eager to get back on track this weekend after a pair of extremely disappointing results to start the season. The 33-year-old won the pole and led 45 laps at Daytona before a crash led to a 32nd-place finish and he started second and led 27 laps before finishing 28th in Atlanta. 

Another massive shocker: Christopher Bell, one of the top Vegas favorites, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top 10. There are far better values in the 2024 Pennzoil 400 starting lineup. The 29-year-old has managed six wins over the last three seasons and he’s worked his way into the championship picture the last two seasons, finishing third in 2022 and fourth in 2023.

Bell finished third after leading 22 laps at Daytona but crashed in Atlanta last week and wound up 34th. He’s finished outside the top 20 in four of his eight career starts in Las Vegas and he only has one win on a 1.5-mile oval in his NASCAR Cup Series career. See which other drivers to avoid and the rest of the projected NASCAR leaderboard at SportsLine.

How to make 2024 NASCAR at Las Vegas picks

The model is also targeting one other driver with 2024 NASCAR Las Vegas longer than 10-1 to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs this driver could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.

So who wins the Pennzoil 400 2024, and which longshot is a must-back? Check out the latest 2024 NASCAR at Las Vegas odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2024 NASCAR at Las Vegas leaderboard, all from the model that has called 15 winners.

2024 Pennzoil 400 odds, drivers, lineup

See full NASCAR at Las Vegas picks at SportsLine

Kyle Larson 21-5
William Byron 8-1
Christopher Bell 8-1
Denny Hamlin 9-1
Ryan Blaney 9-1
Kyle Busch 19-2
Tyler Reddick 10-1
Martin Truex Jr. 10-1
Ross Chastain 12-1
Brad Keselowski 15-1
Chase Elliott 15-1
Joey Logano 16-1
Alex Bowman 22-1
Bubba Wallace 22-1
Chris Buescher 25-1
Ty Gibbs 25-1
Erik Jones 60-1
Daniel Suarez 60-1
Michael McDowell 100-1
Austin Cindric 125-1
Austin Dillon 150-1
John Hunter Nemechek 150-1
Carson Hocevar 150-1
Josh Berry 200-1
Noah Gragson 200-1
Chase Briscoe 200-1
Todd Gilliland 300-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 300-1
Corey Lajoie 300-1
Daniel Hemric 350-1
Ryan Preece 350-1
Harrison Burton 400-1
Zane Smith 400-1
Derek Kraus 450-1
Justin Haley 500-1
Kaz Grala 1500-1
JJ Yeley 5000-1

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