NCAA Tournament 2024 bracket: Proven simulation predicts surprising upsets, March Madness picks, and sleepers

The 2024 NCAA Tournament bracket is set and several teams in the Big Dance will be on upset alert when first round play begins on Thursday. UConn, North Carolina, Houston and Purdue were awarded the four No. 1 seeds in the 2024 March Madness bracket on Selection Sunday. Arizona landed a No. 2 seed and will try to end the Pac-12 Conference’s 25-year national championship drought. Duke was awarded a No. 4 seed in the South Region of the 2024 NCAA bracket in its second year under head coach Jon Scheyer.

Which 2024 March Madness sleepers have what it takes to put together a string of upsets and go on a 2024 NCAA Tournament Cinderella run? Which top-seeded teams should be on upset alert in the first round of the 2024 NCAA Basketball Tournament? It’s time for last-minute bracket advice because picks are due at 12:15 p.m. ET on Thursday. Before you make your 2024 NCAA Tournament predictions, see the March Madness bracket picks from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, has nailed 20 first-round upsets by double-digit seeds since its inception in 2016 and nailed UConn’s dramatic Final Four run as a 4-seed last year. It went an amazing 22-10 in the first round, including an astounding 12-4 in the Midwest and West regions.

Last year, SportsLine’s computer simulation nailed massive upsets, including huge wins by No. 13 Furman over No. 4 Virginia and No. 10 Penn State over No. 7 Texas A&M. The model has beaten over 92% of all CBS Sports bracket players in three of the past five tournaments.

Now, SportsLine’s advanced computer model has simulated the entire 2024 NCAA Tournament 10,000 times to come up with the perfect 2024 NCAA Tournament bracket and find out which teams will pull off the biggest upsets. You shouldn’t even think about making a pick without seeing what their model has to say.

Top 2024 March Madness bracket upset picks

One Midwest Region surprise the model has identified: No. 11 seed Oregon knocks off No. 6 seed South Carolina in a 4 p.m. ET matchup on Thursday. The Ducks were crowned champions of the Pac-12 Tournament thanks to impressive wins over UCLA, Arizona and Colorado. Oregon features five players averaging double-digit points per game this season, giving the Ducks the depth needed to make a deep run in the NCAA Tournament 2024.

Center N’Faly Dante is a dominant force in the paint, averaging 16.2 points and 8.8 rebounds per game. Dante has recorded a double-double in three of his last five outings. Guard Jermaine Couisnard is scoring 15.4 points per game on average, providing the Ducks with multiple offensive weapons. The Gamecocks, meanwhile, stunned SEC teams throughout the season, but they have lost four of their last nine games and are coming off a blowout loss to Auburn in the SEC Tournament.

Another Midwest Region surprise the model has identified: No. 5 Gonzaga beats No. 4 Kansas in the second round. Gonzaga features one of the most efficient offenses in college basketball. Mark Few’s team is knocking down 51.6% of its field goals this season, which ranks second in the nation.

The Zags also rank seventh in the country in scoring offense with 84.9 points per game. Forward Graham Ike does it all for Gonzaga, averaging 16.5 points and 7.2 rebounds while making 60.5% of his field goals. Meanwhile, Kansas will be without its leading scorer, Kevin McCullar Jr., who will miss the NCAA Tournament 2024 due to a knee injury. See which other 2024 March Madness matchups to target here.

How to make 2024 NCAA Tournament bracket predictions

Who wins every tournament-defining matchup? And which teams will make surprising runs through the 2024 NCAA Tournament bracket? With the model’s track record of calling bracket-busting upsets, you’ll want to see which stunners it’s calling this year before locking in any 2024 NCAA bracket picks.

So what’s the optimal NCAA Tournament 2024 bracket? And which NCAA Tournament Cinderella teams will shock college basketball? Visit SportsLine to see which 12-seed reaches the Sweet 16, and which region features a 10-seed, 11-seed, and 13-seed delivering first-round shockers and has a 9-seed in the Elite Eight, all from the model that has beaten 92% of bracket players three of the last five tournaments.

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