Ravens vs. Chiefs odds, line, spread, time: 2024 AFC Championship Game picks, predictions by advanced model

A trip to the Super Bowl is up for grabs when the top-seeded Baltimore Ravens host the third-seeded Kansas City Chiefs in the 2024 AFC Championship Game on Sunday. Baltimore (14-4), which is seeking its third appearance in the Super Bowl and first since 2012, cruised past Houston, 34-10, in the divisional round. The reigning champion Chiefs, who edged Buffalo last Sunday, are looking to get to the Super Bowl for the fourth time in five years.

Kickoff from M&T Bank Stadium is set for 3 p.m. ET on CBS and Paramount+. Baltimore is a four-point favorite in the latest Ravens vs. Chiefs odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 44.5. Before locking in any Chiefs vs. Ravens picks, you need to see the latest NFL predictions from SportsLine’s proven projection model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the conference championship round of the 2024 NFL playoffs on an incredible 184-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 38-21 roll on top-rated picks since Week 7 of last season and nailed seven straight top-rated picks entering the 2024 NFL playoffs.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has zeroed in on Ravens vs. Chiefs and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can see the model’s picks only at SportsLine. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Chiefs vs. Ravens:

  • Ravens vs. Chiefs spread: Baltimore -4
  • Ravens vs. Chiefs over/under: 44.5 points
  • Ravens vs. Chiefs money line: Baltimore -199, Kansas City +165
  • BAL: Ravens are 10-3 against the spread in their last 13 playoff games
  • KC: Chiefs are 7-3 ATS on the road this season, including the playoffs
  • Ravens vs. Chiefs picks: See picks here
  • Ravens vs. Chiefs live stream: Paramount+ (try for free)

Why the Ravens can cover

Lamar Jackson is the favorite to win the NFL MVP award after recording a career-high 3,678 passing yards and leading Baltimore in rushing for the fifth consecutive season with 821 yards. The 27-year-old is looking to join Steve Young (1994) as the only players since the merger to lead all NFL quarterbacks in rushing yards and win a Super Bowl in the same season. Jackson threw a pair of touchdown passes while running for 100 yards and two scores against the Texans last weekend, giving him 11 total TDs and no interceptions over his last three games.

Jackson could be throwing to his favorite target once again on Sunday after tight end Mark Andrews may be activated from injured reserve. The 28-year-old Andrews has been sidelined since suffering an ankle injury against Cincinnati in Week 11 but has been a full participant in practice. He hauled in 45 passes for 544 yards before getting hurt and still finished the season with a team-high six touchdown receptions. See which team to pick here.

Why the Chiefs can cover

While Kansas City’s offense wasn’t as strong in the regular season as it has been in previous years, its defense was one of the best in the NFL. The Chiefs were second in the league in total defense (289.8 yards allowed), points allowed (17.3) and sacks (57) while ranking fourth against the pass (176.5 yard allowed). Their pass defense has been impressive in the postseason as well, keeping both Tua Tagovailoa of Miami (199) and Josh Allen of Buffalo (186) under 200 yards.

Patrick Mahomes is the center of Kansas City’s offensive attack, but Isiah Pacheco has emerged as a dangerous weapon for the team. A seventh-round pick in the 2022 NFL Draft, the 24-year-old running back rushed for 935 yards and seven touchdowns while hauling in 44 passes for 244 yards and a pair of scores in his second season. Pacheco, who has found the end zone in each of his last six games, has rushed for at least 76 yards in four of his five career playoff contests and fell three yards shy of 100 against the Bills last weekend. See which team to pick here.

How to make Chiefs vs. Ravens picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over the total, predicting 45 total points. The model also says one side of the spread cashes in more than 50% of simulations. You can see the model’s NFL picks and analysis only at SportsLine.

So who wins Ravens vs. Chiefs in the NFL playoffs 2024, and which side of the spread cashes over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chiefs vs. Ravens spread you should jump on, all from the advanced model on a 184-129 roll on NFL picks, and find out.

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