Uniswap: If this prediction comes true, UNI’s price will fall below $10

  • UNI faced rejection at the $12.85 mark, just below the $13.1 liquidity pocket.
  • A move below $10 was likely, but traders should beware of volatility.

Uniswap [UNI] registered an 81% move higher on the 23rd of February, measured from the day’s low to high.

This came after a proposal to overhaul the governance system was submitted by the Uniswap Foundation’s Governance lead, Erin Koen.

AMBCrypto reported that the token was likely to rally toward $13.1, and the 24th of February saw UNI reach $12.85. This was a major pocket of liquidity, and the bulls were temporarily rebuffed.

Where are the prices likely to go next?

The fair value gap could see history repeated

Uniswap Daily Chart

Source: UNI/USDT on TradingView

The cyan channel from $3.65 to $7.7 represented a range formation on the weekly chart. In November, UNI broke out past the mid-range level at $5.3, forming a fair value gap (FVG, lower white box).

This region was retested multiple times in recent months as support, but UNI did not close a daily session beneath 50% of the FVG’s width.

Similarly, Uniswap’s recent rally to $12.85 formed a large FVG, or imbalance. The 50% mark for this imbalance stood at $9.22. A retracement to this support would present an ideal buying opportunity.

Swing traders must be prepared for volatility, though. Even a plunge as low as $7 would be considered to be within the demand zone.

The RSI and the market structure were firmly bullish. However, the OBV retraced all the gains made. It is not a signal of a reversal by itself, but it suggests that the bulls have run out of steam, at least for the moment.

Profit-taking activity could pull UNI prices lower

Uniswap Santiment

Source: Santiment

The total Open Interest and the daily trading volume saw huge spikes on the 23rd of February. This was a sign that genuine demand and FOMO was behind the rally.

Also, at press time, the OI had fallen from $239 million at the peak to $176 million. This could be a result of late longs being liquidated.

Speculators might thus want to be wary of volatility in the UNI market and could be better off waiting for a lower timeframe range formation.

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The active addresses also surged and have fallen dramatically, but remained far higher than the early February lows.

The dormant circulation surge suggested that holders were active in booking profits and selling their UNI tokens.

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.

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